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Innovation at risk?
Federal funding that sustained Silicon Valley economic growth is threatened

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Stanford University President John Hennessy sounded the alarm in a speech to professors last month: The university faces a "collision point," as federal-government support for higher education shrinks under pressure to fund growing entitlement programs, Hennessy said.

The threat, oft heard but repeated recently with mounting concern, is that the federal largesse that launched and sustained Silicon Valley is ebbing, with potential dire consequences for education, the local economy and, ultimately, U.S. competitiveness across the globe.

"While there remains very strong support (for research), both in the White House and on the Hill, we are coming to a collision point," Hennessy told Stanford's Faculty Senate June 10.

"I think there will be more pressure on higher education than ever, as the amount of discretionary funding in the budget gets shrunk continuously, to protect that piece of it (for research)."

In other words, the massive and ongoing federal support that has created and fueled the Bay Area brain trust -- big engineering and medicine at Stanford and the University of California, the NASA Ames Research Center, Lawrence Berkeley and Lawrence Livermore labs, Fairchild Semiconductor, Lockheed Missiles & Space and all that has flowed from those institutions -- is under siege.

"For years, money just ran downhill from Washington, D.C., to California and nobody had to do anything to get it," said physicist Scott Hubbard, former NASA Ames research director and now a consulting professor of Aeronautics and Astronautics at Stanford.

"Now, the competition is so much more intense."

Hubbard is something of a historian of the so-called "virtuous circle" of government-university and industry partnership. Those linkages were established locally as early as the 1930s when Washington -- worried about a possible invasion of the East Coast -- created the Ames Aeronautical Laboratory as "near-clone" of Virginia's Langley Aeronautics Research Center.

As California's research establishment grew, the government money followed.

But competition for funds has intensified with the explosion of entitlement programs and other political claims on the federal budget, not to mention growth of high-quality research in places like Austin, Texas; Huntsville, Ala.; Research Triangle Park in North Carolina and elsewhere.

Hubbard motioned toward a photo of Bay Area Congressional representatives Anna Eshoo, Zoe Lofgren and Mike Honda that hung on the wall of his Stanford engineering office.

"I've urged our local legislators -- Anna, Zoe and Mike -- to work with the federally funded labs around here to be sure that the money doesn't get siphoned off and go elsewhere."


With the stunning success of some low-cost Internet and software startups, a local mythology has developed around the go-it-alone entrepreneur making it big from his garage.

But that popular narrative ignores the multi-billion-dollar research investments that created historic Valley companies in defense, telecommunications, Internet technology and biotechnology -- not to mention the daunting startup costs of newer ventures in clean technology.

Even Google had its beginnings in a federally backed research project by Stanford doctoral students Larry Page and Sergey Brin, who hypothesized that a search engine analyzing relationships between websites would produce a ranking superior to then-existing techniques.

Supported by grants from the National Science Foundation, Page and Brin developed the search engine "BackRub," so named because it checked the back-links to estimate the importance of a site.

Similar government backing -- from the Department of Defense -- supported the research at Stanford and Berkeley that generated Cisco Systems and Sun Microsystems.

Hennessy, a computer scientist, personifies the local tradition of cross-pollination between local research institutions and local industry. As a 32-year-old Stanford professor of electrical engineering in 1984, he co-founded MIPS Computer Systems, now MIPS Technologies, to commercialize his research in computer architecture.

A quarter century later, government funding continues to play a key role in jump-starting local innovation, which now includes clean-technology ventures.

Tesla Motors of Palo Alto, which marked its initial public offering last week, took a $465 million loan from the U.S. Department of Energy last year.

Photovoltaic systems-maker Solyndra Inc. of Fremont took a $535 million federal loan guarantee last year to augment its venture backing.

"If the federal government were, God forbid, to withdraw critical federal dollars for basic research, Silicon Valley would be grievously wounded," Eshoo said.

"In less than a decade it would not be the place it claims to be today."


In an annual "Silicon Valley Index," Joint Venture Silicon Valley Network for the past 11 years has analyzed a myriad of data to assess the health and wealth of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties.

This year, Joint Venture, in partnership with the Silicon Valley Community Foundation, found cause for concern on many fronts, including the Valley's standing in the race for federal funds.

Silicon Valley's "economic engine has cooled" by measures such as patents, venture-capital investment and office vacancies, CEO Russell Hancock concluded in the February report.

The region "may be lagging behind other regions in federal investments in R&D and procurement, especially at a time when the federal government has re-emerged as a major force in the economy at a level not seen since World War II."

"If anything, we may have lost ground to other regions since the early 1990s," the Silicon Valley Index report stated.

The average annual growth rate for federal procurement is more than 3.5 percent; regions like Washington, D.C., (7.2 percent) and Huntsville (4.5 percent) have attracted increasing levels of funding, while Silicon Valley's levels have declined.

Eshoo bristles at any implied criticism contained in this year's Silicon Valley Index.

She points to the more than $190 million in economic stimulus funds directed to Stanford, including $90.2 million to the SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory. Another $90 million was divided among Stanford schools of Earth Sciences, Education, Engineering, Humanities and Sciences and Medicine.

The U.S. Department of Energy alone, headed by former Stanford professor and Nobel laureate Steven Chu, has spent $130 million on 400 projects in her district alone, Eshoo said.

"It's not that I'm favored; it's because of what's in the district," she said. "The 14th Congressional District is an exceptional place."

For his part, Hancock insists he intended no criticism of Eshoo or her effectiveness.

"She's fabulous; she's done a great job," he said. "But she's done it without our support. We need to support her and make this a big parade."


Stanford's Hennessy, as well as Hancock, have expressed concern that, with mounting pressure on the federal budget, funding decisions increasingly will be made for reasons other than sheer merit, which could threaten research in new enterprises, such as clean technologies.

"I ... worry that under the increasing pressure, there will be more and more tendency to opt for earmarks (government funds identified for specific projects) as opposed to the traditional method of peer review and meritocracy," Hennessy said in his June 10 remarks to the faculty.

"Should that happen, not only would it damage the research leadership we have had in U.S. universities, but also in the long term it will damage economic growth in this country and put us into a spiral that will be quite unfortunate."

Federal investment was far more strategic during the 1960s and 1970s "when we were in a common race, fighting a Cold War, and needing to come up with solutions quickly as a matter of national urgency," Hancock said.

"What's fascinating about that time is that Silicon Valley wasn't clamoring for those funds -- they just came here on the merits because this is where the best work was happening.

"When you look at the way funding is being disbursed now, it becomes very clear that every state has two senators.




"I'm not a Silicon Valley booster. I'm a booster of the U.S. of A. But right now what we're doing is taking all these monies -- massive amounts -- that were identified for strategic purposes, and instead of injecting them very carefully to move the needle in this important fight (for leadership in clean technologies), we're spreading it thinly over every state.

"It has followed a political dynamic instead of awarding the money based on the merits.

"I say, 'Bring it to Boston, Austin, Research Triangle Park and Silicon Valley.

"It's got to be like assembling a team for the World Cup. We don't say, 'How can we do it in a way that's most fair?' We say, 'Who are the best players and how do we get them on this team?'"

Unlike Internet businesses that can be launched and operated from home, new ventures in clean technologies require massive upfront investment, Hancock noted.

"With the waves of innovation in software, you could put your IP (intellectual property) on a disk, put it in a bright cardboard box, shrink-wrap it and count your money. There are no federal approvals required, and no particular economies of scale you have to mount.

"That's why we have 14-year-old kids with acne starting Internet companies.

But cleantech -- which transforms the way companies provide energy and consumers use it -- operates on a far larger scale.

"They have to be built on massive scale and take place in enormous labs that usually need some kind of federal funding."

Beyond the R&D, such products also will have to run a gauntlet of regulatory hurdles, requiring resources and capital upfront.

"This is going to be much harder, and we can't even begin to contemplate this without the federal government," Hancock said. "They've got to be our partner."

Eshoo needs no reminding about her key role in the mix.

"I hear about it from my constituents all the time -- they understand how critical the federal funding, especially in R&D, is. They don't look for it to supplant what their respective industrial sectors do, but they know the role it's played.

"And once you invest in it, it really needs to be sustained," she said.

"This is really all about the money."


Related stories:

A hub of innovation

Federal boost to local firms

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Comments

Posted by casualObserver, a resident of the Blossom Valley neighborhood, on Jul 13, 2010 at 10:42 pm

Reading the tea leaves, one can only hope that in the future we have the luxury of worrying about how to effectively spend federal R&D funds. We just passed $1TRILLION deficit spending with 3 more months to go in the fiscal year. Growing entitlement obligations will do much more damage than create competition for federal research dollars... it will consume entire federal agencies and create an atmosphere so toxic to doing business that private capital will dry up as well. The federal budget is a mess and getting worse. Social security, medicare, medicaid and interest on the debt are projected to exceed federal revenue by 2020. That means all money spent on national defense, homeland security, temporary assistance, transportation infrastructure and all other spending, or as the GAO calls it "what many think of as 'government'" will be unfunded. Check out the GAOs fiscal outlook: Web Link

not rocket science here... we're on a trajectory for fiscal catastrophe and the sooner our representatives in both parties start taking it seriously the better. we can't tax our way out of this... we need strong job creation. We can't cut our way out of it without violating the trust of the greatest generation. Someone help me out here, how are we not totally screwed???


Posted by Seldon, a resident of the Cuesta Park neighborhood, on Jul 14, 2010 at 11:11 pm

Let's remember we're recovering from a horrendous downturn that has left no corner in our country unblemished. Things are naturally going to look and feel quite bleak for a while, and funding all around is going to be scarce.

I'm supportive of the idea of merit based funding, as we should be encouraging and supporting those that have shown the greatest chance of success by their commitment and their achievements.

That said, I think you point out one of the solutions to this problem, when mentioning that both parties need to seriously address the country's problems, and not get distracted with "taking care of their own".

I hate the word, because it gets used so much but never modeled, but bipartisanship in government would help us focus on the problems we are having as a nation, and provide the necessary momentum and leadership to work on solving issues, rather than trying to one up the other party. There are valuable ideas that both parties have, and other ideas that serve only to distract or cater to a select interest group.

I'm too young to know what it was like "back then", but one thing I've noticed from the greatest generation and before is that they seemed to have a singular vision for America, that helped them to bear with one another, knowing they were working towards the same goals. We need to regain a shared vision, one that stands to help everyone.

America's diversity is our strength, but it can also be our weakness, if we allow ourselves to be defined only by how we are different, and not by how we are similar.


Posted by vkmo, a resident of the Cuesta Park neighborhood, on Jul 15, 2010 at 2:53 pm

US$ has always been floating as long as I remember. Mao Tse Tung's successors Communist Red China Yuan is the only fixed rate currency. All its neighbors- Japan, Taiwan, Thailand, India, Russia, Australia, Europe etc have floating currencies and they are all hurt by industries being killed by MTTCRChinese exports to those countries. Another thing is - thanks to Tibet, MTTCRChina is today the largest producer of GOLD in the world. Its production exceeds South Africa's. As we all know, in the last few years the price of Gold has quadrupled. MTTCRChina doesn't need the added benefit of a low exchange rate. Hit the delete button on free trade privileges of MTTCRChina!


Posted by Mike Laursen, a resident of the Monta Loma neighborhood, on Jul 15, 2010 at 3:29 pm

"Under siege"?! Isn't that a bit loaded? We have a huge fiscal crisis in this country and that means budget cuts, but you'd describe that as "under siege"?


Posted by Martin Omander, a resident of the Rex Manor neighborhood, on Jul 16, 2010 at 6:12 am

The current fiscal crisis is the worst we have seen in a generation. Let's just hope it doesn't make us kill the goose that lays the golden eggs.


Posted by Old Ben, a resident of the Shoreline West neighborhood, on Jul 16, 2010 at 1:20 pm

Ah, the glorious benefits of socialism! So the braniacs of Silicon Valley are completely dependent on government handouts, eh? No free health care for me, no free start-up for you, just $10,000 per second for a war that cannot possibly be won...


Posted by maguro_01, a resident of the Jackson Park neighborhood, on Jul 18, 2010 at 5:18 pm

"Growing entitlement obligations will do much more damage than create competition for federal research dollars... it will consume entire federal agencies and create an atmosphere so toxic to doing business that private capital will dry up as well. The federal budget is a mess and getting worse. Social security, medicare, medicaid and interest on the debt are projected to exceed federal revenue by 2020."

Funny we never read in such rhetoric anything about corporate welfare, the billions and billions paid to politically connected corporations like big Agribusiness. We don't read that medical insurance alone is taking over 4% US GDP and nearly a quarter of US medical expense overall. We don't read that finance, medical care, and the growing again US trade deficit are taking just below 30% and growing US GDP. Given the wars and the watching-the-sparrows-fall-world-wide military budget in addition, even the recovery we have is a tribute to both the enterprise of our economy as well as our ability to borrow ourselves into indenture. Given the hundreds of millions of dollars being poured on Washington by special interests, a tsunami of dollars, the recent medical care and financial bills may have been the last chance.

We aren't hearing that our medical care system increasingly shortens people's working lifetimes, making their medical expenses transfer payments and losing their productivity. The age of peak earnings is dropping along with the velocity of money, yet no economy envisioned can support people who work only half their adult lifetimes. We have older people who think their lifespans are a zero-sum game with uninsured people and have taken on a generational and ethnic struggle they can't win.

The real vitality and added jobs in the US for decades has come from our entrepreneurial Main Street, say businesses employing 1-500 or so, which is being frozen out. A block on our Supreme Court has now made official our pay-to-play political way of life. We had no Jefferson's Wall between politician's and money and have always paid dearly for that Constitutional defect. Now we are reaching for the end stage and are rapidly becoming a Banana Republic. When corporations and financial institutions can buy their environment we no longer have capitalism/markets, we will have increasingly dysfunctional large corporations/finance and corrupt politics intertwined in ways that have been historically recipes for disaster. Countries like Argentina or Indonesia were reformed and bailed out by the IMF, bankrolled then by the US. There's no way to force reforms and bailouts on the US in the same circumstances and perhaps no one would.

There is no continuity nor community in interest nor goals between Main Street - us - and Wall Street and most large corporations these days. Washington, in reality, is now post ideology except that the right party seems more susceptible and unscrupulous, being quite willing to risk national disaster to achieve a power that would prove illusory. Both Sacramento and Washington have run aground on a supermajority to govern concept as well. Be careful of what you wish for...

By the way, just what does the right want to do with older people? What is the cutoff age? Will they just ration them or be more proactive? The program seems to be that people should die in net worth order. Perhaps we need a referendum on that. After all, the CIA handbook,

Web Link, says the US is 50th in life expectancy in spite of our expenditures.


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