http://mv-voice.com/square/print/2011/08/04/hsr-data-flawed-panel-finds


Town Square

HSR data flawed, panel finds

Original post made on Aug 4, 2011

The California agency charged with building America's first high-speed-rail system has been using a flawed forecasting model to predict ridership for the proposed system, a peer-review panel concluded in a report that largely confirms previous criticism from transportation experts and rail watchdogs.

Read the full story here Web Link posted Friday, August 5, 2011, 12:00 AM

Comments

Posted by Martin, a resident of Shoreline West
on Aug 4, 2011 at 4:10 pm

I don't see why people worried about ridership model when few have ever been accurate. You're still going to need 4 tracks from SF to SJ. The model would affect how many trains you buy, so with each train costing about $40 million, you don't wanna be off too far, but that still shouldn't stop the construction from going forward.


Posted by Mike Laursen, a resident of Monta Loma
on Aug 4, 2011 at 4:31 pm

Martin, I believe what we're finding out is that the ridership estimates are not just a little off. They are so far off that the core feasibility of the project is at question. Of course, anybody who is familiar with the history of how big public-private partnership projects are pitched to the public suspected the ridership estimates from the beginning.